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Slowdown shock: PPF beats mutual funds over 5 years



PPF is one of the prime investment avenues for Crores of investor’s especially conservative ones. The average rate for PPF rate for FY 2014-2019 was about 8.2%. On the other hand, if we calculate returns for large cap mutual funds for same period (as on 30th Aug 2019) the same is about to 7.79%. Please note that the rates are annualized. Other categories like mid-cap and small-cap have only done marginally better at 9.51% and 9.39%, respectively. Note Interest from PPF is also tax Free.

The assets under management (AUM) of open-ended equity funds have increased from ₹2.5 trillion in July 2014 to to ₹6.84 trillion at the end of July 2019, an almost three-fold expansion in just five years. Last week, GDP growth rate for the April-June 2019 period came in at 5%, the lowest in six years. This has hit investment by individual investors hard.

Wait ! Don’t push panic button just yet.

Does that mean all is lost for retail equity investors? One should invest at times when growth is low and valuations are attractive and pull out when these factors reverse," said Sankaran Naren, executive director and chief investment officer, ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund. Warren Buffet once famously said, that one should but when there is “Blood in market” So this is right time to top up your SIPs

Investors should stick to their long-term allocation and shouldn't look too much into one year figure. Modi Govt has embarked on some aggressive changes which are bound to cause some short term hiccups. Also Banks will be out of woods in couple of quarters which mean they can give boost to infra activity in BIG way.   

Equity returns are always volatile by definition and this situation does not call for exit in panic. A recovery can change the picture dramatically. Investors should stick to their long-term asset allocation and avoid the temptation to leave for a lump sum. Also RBI has reduced interest by 1.1%+ in last few quarters, which means PPF interest will eventually come down below 8% soon

We urge everyone to discuss present situation of portfolio with your financial advisor  and make changes only if necessary. Stick to you long term planning. We believe stock markets are prime to rebound which will improve your returns from mutual fund investments


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